Systematic Prediction Market Fund
Prediction Markets.
Aggregated Signals.
Prophecy monitors Polymarket in real time, extracts high-conviction signals from market activity, and deploys capital where outcomes look mispriced.
The superforecasting edge, systematised.
Philip Tetlock's research showed that experts beat laypeople, superforecasters beat experts, and groups of superforecasters beat any individual. Prediction markets operationalise that principle at scale: thousands of participants with skin in the game produce probability estimates that consistently outperform polls and pundits.
Prophecy watches that activity continuously, identifies persistent patterns of conviction, and trades only where the aggregated signal points to a mispricing. No single analyst. No gut feeling. A disciplined system built on observable market behaviour.
24/7
Monitoring
16+
Categories
<60s
Signal to trade
100%
Transparency
What we trade
Politics
Elections, legislation, appointments
Geopolitics
Conflicts, treaties, diplomacy
Economy
Rates, inflation, jobs data
Science & Tech
Approvals, launches, breakthroughs
Finance
Crypto and market milestones
World Events
Weather, culture, breaking news
How it works
Four stages from market activity to a risk-managed position.
Monitor
Ingest Polymarket activity via live WebSocket streams and periodic REST sync. Track order flow, prices, volume, and supporting news in parallel.
Identify
Surface high-conviction signals weighted by category strength, recency, volume, and track record. Aggregate calibrated perspectives rather than chase any single source.
Execute
Size positions to conviction and capacity. Every trade must pass category match, price validity, freshness, position limits, price tolerance, and liquidity checks.
Manage
Automated stop-loss, take-profit, position caps, and signal-reversal exits. Full P&L attribution is visible in the Brain dashboard.
1
Signal detected
2
Filters run
3
Capital deployed
4
Risk managed
5
P&L realised
Risk management
Controls are programmatic. No manual overrides, no exceptions, no emotion.
Position
- · Stop-loss & take-profit
- · Price tolerance (no chasing)
- · Minimum trade size
Portfolio
- · Max size per market
- · Category diversification
- · Cash reserve
Operations
- · Dual data streams
- · Fill-or-kill orders
- · Full audit trail
How positions close
Important disclosures
Trading prediction markets involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You may lose more than your initial investment.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Systematic signals do not guarantee returns. Prediction markets face regulatory uncertainty that could affect operations or position values.
This material is informational only and is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities or investment products.
FAQ
Short answers to the questions we hear most.