Our prediction record

Event Horizon

Our prediction for events in the next 7 days.

Resolution window 7 days 14 days 30 days

Category All Box Office Culture Economy Finance Games Geopolitics Mentions Politics Science Sports Tech Trump

Current predictions

Held outcomes resolving in the next 7 days.

Active

✓ Right so far

✕ Wrong so far

87%

Accuracy so far

Economy

Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? Yes

Ends in 2 days 3 hours

42%

Market now

updated about 13 hours ago

> 32%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 days ago

Finance

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? No

Ends 29 Jul, 00:00 UTC

100%

Market now

updated about 17 hours ago

> 39%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? Yes

Ends 29 Jul, 00:00 UTC

25%

Market now

updated about 23 hours ago

> 3%

Our view · right so far

First bought 1 week ago

Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision? No

Ends 29 Jul, 15:59 UTC

96%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 12%

Our view · right so far

First bought 5 weeks ago

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting? No

Ends 30 Jul, 00:00 UTC

98%

Market now

updated about 5 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No

Ends 31 Jul, 00:00 UTC

99%

Market now

updated about 5 hours ago

> 29%

Our view · right so far

First bought 9 weeks ago

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? Yes

Ends 31 Jul, 00:00 UTC

98%

Market now

updated about 4 hours ago

> 48%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

Games

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes

Ends 31 Jul, 12:00 UTC

50%

Market now

updated about 1 hour ago

> 14%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

Geopolitics

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? No

Disputed

99%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 0%

Our view · right so far

First bought 5 weeks ago

Politics

Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? Yes

Ends in 3 days 3 hours

Market now

updated about 8 hours ago

> 2%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 1 week ago

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Yes

Ends 30 Jul, 23:59 UTC

98%

Market now

updated about 1 hour ago

> 40%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

Tech

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? Yes

Ends 31 Jul, 00:00 UTC

79%

Market now

updated about 20 hours ago

> 36%

Our view · right so far

First bought 5 days ago

Trump

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026? Yes

Ends in 3 hours

54%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 50%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 days ago

Uncategorized

Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting? No

Ends 31 Jul, 00:00 UTC

100%

Market now

updated about 1 hour ago

> 25%

Our view · right so far

First bought 1 week ago

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? Yes

Ends 31 Jul, 00:00 UTC

Market now

updated about 20 hours ago

> 0%

Our view · in line

First bought 7 weeks ago

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31? No

Ends 31 Jul, 11:59 UTC

99%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 1%

Our view · right so far

First bought 4 weeks ago

Green/red means the market has moved for/against our held outcome since entry; it is only “right/wrong so far” until the event resolves. Market prices are implied probabilities, not guarantees.

Historical performance

All markets we entered that resolved in the last 7 days.

160

Resolved

113

✓ Right

✕ Wrong

71%

Accuracy

Box Office

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Culture

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be at least 48m? No

Resolved 2 days ago

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 20%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 days ago

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Economy

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12? Yes

Resolved 5 days ago

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 23%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12? Yes

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 38%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Finance

Will CXMT IPO by July 17, 2026? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 17 hours ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 15%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Games

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs Dplus KIA

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Geopolitics

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 8 hours ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 8 hours ago

> 36%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 8 hours ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 20 hours ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 9%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Iran full airspace closure by July 21? No

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 days ago

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 32%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 39%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19? No

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 45%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15? Yes

Resolved 5 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 78%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 76%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 67%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 83%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 64%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Mentions

Will Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the World Cup Final? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 26%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Donald Trump be shown 6-8 times at the World Cup Final? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 81%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Donald Trump be shown 9-11 times at the World Cup Final? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

Will the announcers say "iShowSpeed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Politics

Will Leavitt say "World Cup" during the next White House Press Briefing? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated 35 minutes ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 28 hours ago

Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 89%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 days ago

Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 80%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 100%

Our view · in line

First bought 1 week ago

Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 67%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 days ago

Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 90%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 14%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated about 16 hours ago

> 74%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 days ago

Will Keir Starmer be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 minutes ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31? No

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 63%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Wes Streeting be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 minutes ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 82%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated about 22 hours ago

> 60%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 90%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 22 hours ago

> 65%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Matthew Taylor win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 16%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Beth Jones win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 23%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Martin Schmierer win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 12%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Science

Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes

Resolved 5 days ago

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 20%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Sports

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 8 hours ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 days ago

Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 22 hours ago

> 59%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 days ago

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 67%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 days ago

Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 86%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 59%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 25%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 91%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 days ago

Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 96%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 days ago

Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 9%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 82%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 33%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 71%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 16%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 days ago

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 64%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 9%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 days ago

Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 36%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 12%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims) Seokhyeon Ko

Resolved 5 days ago

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 61%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) Dricus Du Plessis

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card) Chase Hooper

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) Christian Leroy Duncan

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 79%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) Fatima Kline

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 80%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes

Resolved 5 days ago

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims) Jose Miguel Delgado

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 47%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

France vs. England: France O/U 0.5 Over

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 77%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

France vs. England: France O/U 1.5 Over

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 44%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims) RJ Harris

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 49%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Dione Barbosa vs. Anna Melisano (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) Dione Barbosa

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 85%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims) Alden Coria

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Tech

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 20 hours ago

> 76%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Trump

Will Trump say "Melania" during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 20 hours ago

> 86%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump say "First Term" during remarks in Georgia? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 20 hours ago

> 75%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump say "Family" 5+ times during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved today

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 67%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump say "Booming" during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 69%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved 1 day ago

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 17%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 16 hours ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 days ago

Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 69%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Uncategorized

Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 69%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 days ago

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 30%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 86%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 75%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 3%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will OG Anunoby Jr. be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 69%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 20 weeks ago

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 7%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 20 weeks ago

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 85%

Our view · correct

First bought 14 weeks ago

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 13%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 24 weeks ago

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 23%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies Washington Nationals

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 days ago

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 61%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 87%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 24%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 10%

Our view · correct

First bought 21 weeks ago

Another World Cup card reversed? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies Cincinnati Reds

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 54%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 63%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 50%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels

Resolved 6 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 64%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks

Resolved 6 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 33%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

Over $100M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $85M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $75M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 89%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $65M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $90M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 38%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Oliver Crawford Chris Rodesch

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 70%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 87%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago