Our prediction record

Event Horizon

Our prediction for events in the next 30 days.

Resolution window 7 days 14 days 30 days

Current predictions

Held outcomes resolving in the next 30 days.

47
Active
39
✓ Right so far
5
✕ Wrong so far
89%
Accuracy so far

Economy

Finance

Games

Geopolitics

Politics

Sports

Tech

Trump

Uncategorized

Green/red means the market has moved for/against our held outcome since entry; it is only “right/wrong so far” until the event resolves. Market prices are implied probabilities, not guarantees.

Historical performance

All markets we entered that resolved in the last 30 days.

698
Resolved
537
✓ Right
161
✕ Wrong
77%
Accuracy

Box Office

Business

Crypto

Culture

Economy

Finance

Games

Geopolitics

Health

Mentions

Resolved 3 weeks ago
100%
Market now
updated 23 days ago
> 99%
Our view · correct
First bought 9 weeks ago

Politics

Resolved 3 weeks ago
100%
Market now
updated 23 days ago
> 44%
Our view · correct
First bought 13 weeks ago
Resolved 3 weeks ago
100%
Market now
updated 24 days ago
> 100%
Our view · correct
First bought 5 weeks ago

Science

Sports

Resolved 1 week ago
100%
Market now
updated 9 days ago
> 83%
Our view · correct
First bought 1 week ago
Resolved 1 week ago
100%
Market now
updated 9 days ago
> 94%
Our view · correct
First bought 1 week ago
Resolved 1 week ago
0%
Market now
updated 10 days ago
> 98%
Our view · incorrect
First bought 1 week ago
Resolved 2 weeks ago
100%
Market now
updated 14 days ago
> 100%
Our view · correct
First bought 2 weeks ago

Tech

Trump

Weather

Resolved 3 weeks ago
100%
Market now
updated 24 days ago
> 98%
Our view · correct
First bought 4 weeks ago

World

Uncategorized

Resolved 3 weeks ago
100%
Market now
updated 3 days ago
> 97%
Our view · correct
First bought 12 weeks ago
Resolved 3 weeks ago
100%
Market now
updated 11 days ago
> 92%
Our view · correct
First bought 19 weeks ago