Our prediction record

Event Horizon

Our held predictions approaching resolution, with the record of what happened next.

Open predictions

Right so far

Wrong so far

77%

Resolved accuracy

Resolution window 7 days 14 days 30 days

Category All Business Crypto Culture Economy Finance Games Geopolitics Mentions Politics Science SpaceX Sports Tech Trump Weather World

Current predictions

Held outcomes resolving in the next 30 days.

Business

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? No

Ends 30 Sep, 23:59 UTC

Market now

updated about 11 hours ago

> 4%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 4 weeks ago

Economy

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? No

Ends 30 Sep, 00:00 UTC

99%

Market now

updated about 1 hour ago

> 98%

Our view · right so far

First bought 11 weeks ago

Finance

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? No

Ends 1 Oct, 03:59 UTC

94%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 91%

Our view · right so far

First bought 1 week ago

Games

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30? No

Ends 1 Oct, 03:59 UTC

100%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 98%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Geopolitics

Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? No

Ends 30 Sep, 20:59 UTC

99%

Market now

updated about 1 hour ago

> 99%

Our view · right so far

First bought 7 weeks ago

Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? No

Ends 30 Sep, 20:59 UTC

96%

Market now

updated about 12 hours ago

> 94%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 days ago

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? No

Ends 1 Oct, 03:59 UTC

95%

Market now

updated about 2 hours ago

> 91%

Our view · right so far

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? Yes

Ends 1 Oct, 03:59 UTC

86%

Market now

updated about 7 hours ago

> 91%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? Yes

Ends 1 Oct, 03:59 UTC

Market now

updated about 10 hours ago

> 23%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 12 weeks ago

Politics

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes

Ends in 23 hours

100%

Market now

updated about 7 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · in line

First bought 11 weeks ago

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No

Ends in 23 hours

95%

Market now

updated about 6 hours ago

> 89%

Our view · right so far

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? No

Ends in 23 hours

98%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 98%

Our view · right so far

First bought 4 days ago

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No

Ends in 23 hours

98%

Market now

updated about 12 hours ago

> 98%

Our view · in line

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will United Russia win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections? Yes

Ends in 1 day 19 hours

99%

Market now

updated about 11 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · right so far

First bought 7 weeks ago

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? Under

Ends in 1 day 23 hours

18%

Market now

updated about 16 hours ago

> 19%

Our view · in line

First bought 3 days ago

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? Yes

Ends in 1 day 23 hours

69%

Market now

updated about 4 hours ago

> 65%

Our view · right so far

First bought 9 hours ago

Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? Yes

Ends in 1 day 23 hours

86%

Market now

updated about 19 hours ago

> 84%

Our view · right so far

First bought 13 hours ago

Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election? Yes

Ends 27 Sep, 00:00 UTC

92%

Market now

updated about 13 hours ago

> 88%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will the Tidö parties win by 3–4 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? No

Ends 1 Oct, 03:59 UTC

100%

Market now

updated about 7 hours ago

> 100%

Our view · in line

First bought 2 days ago

Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No

Ends 4 Oct, 00:00 UTC

100%

Market now

updated about 2 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · in line

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No

Ends 4 Oct, 00:00 UTC

76%

Market now

updated about 20 hours ago

> 80%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes

Ends 4 Oct, 00:00 UTC

98%

Market now

updated about 6 hours ago

> 86%

Our view · right so far

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election? Yes

Ends 4 Oct, 06:00 UTC

92%

Market now

updated about 17 hours ago

> 90%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Gladson Camelí win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? No

Ends 4 Oct, 06:00 UTC

85%

Market now

updated about 16 hours ago

> 84%

Our view · right so far

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes

Ends 5 Oct, 00:00 UTC

85%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 63%

Our view · right so far

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? Yes

Ends 5 Oct, 03:59 UTC

76%

Market now

updated about 1 hour ago

> 71%

Our view · right so far

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No

Ends 10 Oct, 00:00 UTC

97%

Market now

updated about 14 hours ago

> 95%

Our view · right so far

First bought 9 weeks ago

Sports

UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) Arman Tsarukyan

Ends in 1 day 3 hours

74%

Market now

updated about 13 hours ago

> 75%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 12 hours ago

UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims) JooSang Yoo

Ends in 1 day 3 hours

67%

Market now

updated about 13 hours ago

> 67%

Our view · in line

First bought 11 hours ago

UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) Iwo Baraniewski

Ends in 1 day 3 hours

70%

Market now

updated about 11 hours ago

> 70%

Our view · in line

First bought 11 hours ago

UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) Charles Jourdain

Ends in 1 day 3 hours

66%

Market now

updated about 13 hours ago

> 67%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 12 hours ago

UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) Joanderson Brito

Ends in 1 day 3 hours

79%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 79%

Our view · in line

First bought 4 hours ago

UFC 331: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims) Ryan Gandra

Ends in 1 day 3 hours

82%

Market now

updated about 2 hours ago

> 82%

Our view · in line

First bought 1 hour ago

Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Pacquiao

Ends 4 Oct, 03:59 UTC

50%

Market now

updated about 6 hours ago

> 50%

Our view · in line

First bought 2 weeks ago

Tech

Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? Yes

Ends 1 Oct, 03:59 UTC

22%

Market now

updated about 8 hours ago

> 25%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 7 hours ago

Trump

Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September? No

Ends 30 Sep, 23:59 UTC

77%

Market now

updated about 17 hours ago

> 78%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? Yes

Ends 1 Oct, 03:59 UTC

99%

Market now

updated about 6 hours ago

> 93%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? No

Ends 1 Oct, 03:59 UTC

85%

Market now

updated about 3 hours ago

> 74%

Our view · right so far

First bought 5 days ago

World

Israel closes its airspace by September 30? Yes

Ends 1 Oct, 03:59 UTC

99%

Market now

updated about 20 hours ago

> 75%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Uncategorized

Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? No

Ends in 23 hours

86%

Market now

updated about 8 hours ago

> 90%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will United Russia win the next Mordovia Parliament elections? Yes

Ends in 1 day 19 hours

99%

Market now

updated about 16 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections? Yes

Ends in 1 day 19 hours

95%

Market now

updated about 1 hour ago

> 97%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will United Russia win the next Nizhny Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections? Yes

Ends in 1 day 19 hours

99%

Market now

updated about 5 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will United Russia win the next Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament elections? Yes

Ends in 1 day 19 hours

97%

Market now

updated about 10 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 1 week ago

Will United Russia win the next Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament elections? Yes

Ends in 1 day 19 hours

97%

Market now

updated about 17 hours ago

> 97%

Our view · in line

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will United Russia win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections? Yes

Ends in 1 day 19 hours

96%

Market now

updated about 20 hours ago

> 93%

Our view · right so far

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will United Russia win the next Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections? Yes

Ends in 1 day 19 hours

97%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 100%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will United Russia win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections? Yes

Ends in 1 day 19 hours

97%

Market now

updated about 1 hour ago

> 99%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections? Yes

Ends in 1 day 23 hours

96%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 88%

Our view · right so far

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will United Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections? Yes

Ends in 1 day 23 hours

99%

Market now

updated about 5 hours ago

> 98%

Our view · right so far

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Oleg Melnichenko win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections? Yes

Ends in 1 day 23 hours

96%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 95%

Our view · right so far

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections? Yes

Ends in 1 day 23 hours

99%

Market now

updated about 20 hours ago

> 97%

Our view · right so far

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Alexey Russkikh win the next Ulyanovsk Oblast gubernatorial elections? Yes

Ends in 1 day 23 hours

96%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 98%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 8 weeks ago

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? No

Ends 30 Sep, 23:59 UTC

97%

Market now

updated about 8 hours ago

> 93%

Our view · right so far

First bought 8 weeks ago

Trump out as President by September 30? No

Ends 1 Oct, 03:59 UTC

99%

Market now

updated about 3 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · in line

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? No

Ends 1 Oct, 03:59 UTC

100%

Market now

updated about 1 hour ago

> 99%

Our view · right so far

First bought 10 weeks ago

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? Yes

Ends 1 Oct, 03:59 UTC

54%

Market now

updated about 8 hours ago

> 70%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 37 hours ago

Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? No

Ends 1 Oct, 03:59 UTC

92%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 87%

Our view · right so far

First bought 1 week ago

Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30? No

Ends 1 Oct, 03:59 UTC

85%

Market now

updated about 4 hours ago

> 85%

Our view · in line

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? Yes

Ends 4 Oct, 00:00 UTC

98%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 97%

Our view · in line

First bought 20 weeks ago

Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? No

Ends 4 Oct, 00:00 UTC

35%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 54%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Eduardo Riedel win the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election? Yes

Ends 4 Oct, 06:00 UTC

97%

Market now

updated about 2 hours ago

> 95%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Arthur Henrique win the 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election? Yes

Ends 4 Oct, 06:00 UTC

98%

Market now

updated about 6 hours ago

> 94%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? Yes

Ends 4 Oct, 06:00 UTC

61%

Market now

updated about 12 hours ago

> 64%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? Yes

Ends 4 Oct, 06:00 UTC

Market now

updated about 12 hours ago

> 34%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will SDA win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? No

Ends 4 Oct, 23:59 UTC

95%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 95%

Our view · in line

First bought 6 days ago

Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? Yes

Ends 5 Oct, 03:59 UTC

82%

Market now

updated about 1 hour ago

> 95%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? Yes

Ends 5 Oct, 03:59 UTC

82%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 82%

Our view · in line

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? Yes

Ends 11 Oct, 00:00 UTC

92%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 90%

Our view · right so far

First bought 16 weeks ago

These are open predictions — outcomes are not scored until the market resolves. Market prices are implied probabilities, not guarantees.

Historical performance

All markets we entered that resolved in the last 30 days.

458

Resolved

354

✓ Right

104

✕ Wrong

77%

Accuracy

Crypto

LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated about 10 hours ago

> 73%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 5%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Solana reach $100 in August? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 67%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on August 19? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 29 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on August 19? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 29 days ago

> 20%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on August 19? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 29 days ago

> 63%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 30 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Up

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 30 days ago

> 30%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Culture

Will Apple TV win the most Emmys? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 89%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 days ago

Economy

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 73%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 22%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 days ago

Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 14%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 days ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 79%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Finance

Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 5 hours ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 7 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 46%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? No

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? No

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? No

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 47%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 12 weeks ago

Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 87%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will no statement by Warsh happen during September Press Conference? No

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? No

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 3%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 42%

Our view · correct

First bought 12 weeks ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? No

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 33%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? No

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 50%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? No

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 30%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 225M by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 240M by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 73%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 23%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 89%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 64%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 81%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 14%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 55%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 79%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 81%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 12 days ago

> 76%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 29%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Games

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B Alliance

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 66%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 3%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 70%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 84%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 30%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs T1

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 61%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 76%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 79%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 84%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 40 million views on day 1? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 92%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B Team Falcons

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 74%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 66%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B Legacy

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 42%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 8 minutes long? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 5 minutes long? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Rocket League? Jynxzi

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 85%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in FIFA? Speed

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 74%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Chess? Jynxzi

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Fortnite? Speed

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 66%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Jynxzi vs Speed gaming challenge winner? Jynxzi

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 67%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner TEAM VISION

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 59%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs TEAM VISION

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 49%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner Team Spirit

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 57%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs FURIA

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 55%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs Team Yandex

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 31%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs Team Liquid

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 40%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs Team Falcons

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 46%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 36 hours? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 14 hours? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 11 hours? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 10 hours? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 50%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 67%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 80%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 6 hours? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs Iron Wing

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 42%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Geopolitics

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? No

Resolved today

Market now

updated about 1 hour ago

> 58%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 81%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 85%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 66%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 85%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 75%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 87%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 9%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 17%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 84%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 79%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 67%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 73%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 86%

Our view · correct

First bought 11 weeks ago

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 11 weeks ago

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 85%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 29 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 30 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 30 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 20 weeks ago

Mentions

Will Trump say "Tehran" in August? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 34%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Trump say "Gay" in August? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 64%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Politics

Will Green Party (MP) win at least 9% of all valid votes? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 2 hours ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win at least 33% of all valid votes? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 17 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? No

Resolved today

Market now

updated about 17 hours ago

> 55%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or MP? V

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will the Green Party (MP) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? No

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 days ago

Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 70%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 63%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 79%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 75%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 27%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will the Left Party (V) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will BARMM Grand Coalition (BGC) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 56%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? No

Resolved 2 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 95%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Robert Raimondo win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 91%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Christopher Beardsley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? No

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 7%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 13 weeks ago

Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 79%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will John Kiper win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 58%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 85%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? No

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 4%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Israel Election: The Reservists & Blue and White Run on Same List? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit & RZP Run on Same List? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Israel Election: New Economic Party & Amcha Yisrael Run on Same List? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 75%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 24%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 64%

Our view · correct

First bought 18 weeks ago

Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 79%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%? Over

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will NRPUP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 11 weeks ago

Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will CF win the second-most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 10%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 99%

Our view · in line

First bought 9 weeks ago

US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 91%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Matthew "Bronco" Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 26%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 16 weeks ago

Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will James Parkin advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 63%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Gavin Solomon advance from the AK-AL primary election? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 34%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 16 weeks ago

Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Graham Platner charged by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Mike Kennealy win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Leavitt say "Pink" during the next White House Press Briefing? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Iran leadership change by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 13 weeks ago

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 12%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 87%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 19 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 58%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 18%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 39%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by less than 5%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Ashley B. Moody be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 80%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 46%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Leisa Mitchell Haynes win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 53%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 20–25%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 25–30%? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 35–40%? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 79%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 80%

Our view · correct

First bought 16 weeks ago

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Adilet win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will QHP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 62%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will JSDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 86%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 76%

Our view · correct

First bought 39 weeks ago

Will Cook Islands United Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Betsy McCaughey win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 53%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 10%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 13%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 84%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 8%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Respublica win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 26%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will JSDP win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 16%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Aq Jol win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 19%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 21 weeks ago

Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 6%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 13 weeks ago

Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 26%

Our view · correct

First bought 12 weeks ago

Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

99%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 26%

Our view · correct

First bought 13 weeks ago

Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Science

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

SpaceX

Will SpaceX have fewer than 13 launches in August 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 90%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Sports

Will Max Verstappen Win Max vs 100? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 81%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes

Resolved 5 days ago

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 59%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Noche UFC: Drakkar Klose vs. Tommy Gantt (Lightweight, Prelims) Tommy Gantt

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 79%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Noche UFC: Muslim Salikhov vs. Ignacio Bahamondes (Welterweight, Prelims) Ignacio Bahamondes

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 83%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) Joseph Morales

Resolved 5 days ago

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 52%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) Tim Elliott

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 83%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

Noche UFC: JJ Aldrich vs. Regina Tarin (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) Regina Tarin

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 72%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims) Rongzhu

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 61%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Main Card) Losene Keita

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 12 days ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Prelims) Kurtis Campbell

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 12 days ago

> 79%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card) Farés Ziam

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 12 days ago

> 59%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card) Felipe Lima

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 65%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Nora Cornolle vs. Klaudia Sygula (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) Nora Cornolle

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Sofia Montenegro vs. Delphine Benouaich (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) Delphine Benouaich

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 57%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will AEK win on 2026-09-02? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will OFI win on 2026-09-02? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 18 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) Denise Gomes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 43%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas (Flyweight, Prelims) Rei Tsuruya

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card) Bilal Hasan

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 87%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Jingnan Xiong vs. Julia Polastri (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) Julia Polastri

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 69%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) Sumudaerji

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 67%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) Liu Ce

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 62%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson (Welterweight, Prelims) Cameron Nelson

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 44%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Namsrai Batbayar vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card) Andre Lima

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 71%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) Umar Nurmagomedov

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 85%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

49ers vs. Raiders Raiders

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 62%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) Reinier de Ridder

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 80%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) Carli Judice

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 84%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) Gregory Rodrigues

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 74%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card) Vitor Petrino

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 60%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card) Mason Jones

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 77%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Elise Reed vs. Shanelle Dyer (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) Shanelle Dyer

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 89%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims) Lerryan Douglas

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 78%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card) Shamil Gaziev

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 56%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse (Featherweight, Prelims) Marcio Barbosa

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 87%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 50%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Tech

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 1 hour ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 2 hours ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 86%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? No

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 68%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? No

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 40%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? No

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 27%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? No

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 71%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 64%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 56%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Trump

Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 15%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in September? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Trump out as President by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in August 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 19 days ago

> 84%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 82%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 19 days ago

> 80%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Trump say "Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency" during his rally with Darline Graham? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Weather

Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Indonesia by August 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

World

Israel closes its airspace by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Uncategorized

What will be the next Fed rate change? Hike

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? No

Resolved 1 day ago

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 55%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 12 weeks ago

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 4%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 12 weeks ago

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 66%

Our view · correct

First bought 23 weeks ago

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 56%

Our view · correct

First bought 13 weeks ago

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 49%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 30%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 69%

Our view · correct

First bought 12 weeks ago

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 11 weeks ago

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 52%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 71%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 80%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 days ago

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 79%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? No

Resolved 2 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 82%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 days ago

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton Ben Shelton

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 11%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 days ago

LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 80%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? No

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 66%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 60%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 89%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 76%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated about 10 hours ago

> 89%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 74%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 67%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 72%

Our view · correct

First bought 12 weeks ago

US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng Qinwen Zheng

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 18%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 75%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 89%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 86%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 12 days ago

> 59%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 12 days ago

> 56%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 12 days ago

> 90%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Indiana lions in custody by September 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 58%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Iran target Egypt by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 89%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 60%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 97%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 12 days ago

> 76%

Our view · correct

First bought 21 weeks ago

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 27%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Russia enter Hannivka by December 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 81%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 30? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 1? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 46%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 77%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Indiana lions in custody by August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Lecornu out as French PM by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 46%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 86%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 5%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 10 weeks ago

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 63%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 68%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 19 days ago

> 66%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Indiana lions in custody by August 29, 2026 11:59 PM ET? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 19 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 87%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 76%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 52%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Indiana lions in custody by August 28, 2026 11:59 PM ET? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Indiana lions in custody by Friday noon ET? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 41%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 53%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 11%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 37 weeks ago

Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 74%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Monterrey Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara Tauson Clara Tauson

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 43%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 63%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 69%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Taylor Fritz

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 66%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 86%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 66%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 9%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 30 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 30 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 30 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago