Our prediction record

Event Horizon

Our prediction for events in the next 14 days.

Resolution window 7 days 14 days 30 days

Category All Box Office Crypto Culture Economy Finance Games Geopolitics Mentions Politics Science Sports Tech Trump

Current predictions

Held outcomes resolving in the next 14 days.

Active

✓ Right so far

✕ Wrong so far

89%

Accuracy so far

Economy

Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? Yes

Ends in 2 days 1 hour

42%

Market now

updated about 15 hours ago

> 32%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 days ago

Finance

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? No

Ends 29 Jul, 00:00 UTC

100%

Market now

updated about 19 hours ago

> 39%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? Yes

Ends 29 Jul, 00:00 UTC

25%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 3%

Our view · right so far

First bought 1 week ago

Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision? No

Ends 29 Jul, 15:59 UTC

96%

Market now

updated about 23 hours ago

> 12%

Our view · right so far

First bought 5 weeks ago

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting? No

Ends 30 Jul, 00:00 UTC

98%

Market now

updated about 7 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No

Ends 31 Jul, 00:00 UTC

99%

Market now

updated about 7 hours ago

> 29%

Our view · right so far

First bought 9 weeks ago

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? Yes

Ends 31 Jul, 00:00 UTC

98%

Market now

updated about 6 hours ago

> 48%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

US x China tariff agreement by July 31? No

Ends 31 Jul, 23:59 UTC

97%

Market now

updated about 15 hours ago

> 10%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? Yes

Ends 31 Jul, 23:59 UTC

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 3%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July? No

Ends 1 Aug, 03:59 UTC

97%

Market now

updated about 23 hours ago

> 87%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by July 31? No

Ends 1 Aug, 18:00 UTC

96%

Market now

updated about 23 hours ago

> 50%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by July 31? No

Ends 1 Aug, 19:00 UTC

99%

Market now

updated about 5 hours ago

> 1%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

Games

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes

Ends 31 Jul, 12:00 UTC

50%

Market now

updated about 3 hours ago

> 14%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

Geopolitics

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? No

Disputed

99%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 0%

Our view · right so far

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026? No

Ends 31 Jul, 23:59 UTC

88%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 20%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 hours ago

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? No

Ends 31 Jul, 23:59 UTC

94%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 56%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? No

Ends 31 Jul, 23:59 UTC

94%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 5%

Our view · right so far

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? Yes

Ends 31 Jul, 23:59 UTC

Market now

updated about 23 hours ago

> 1%

Our view · in line

First bought 1 week ago

Politics

Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? Yes

Ends in 3 days 1 hour

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 2%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 1 week ago

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Yes

Ends 30 Jul, 23:59 UTC

98%

Market now

updated about 2 hours ago

> 40%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? No

Ends 31 Jul, 23:59 UTC

91%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 62%

Our view · right so far

First bought 1 week ago

Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? No

Ends 1 Aug, 23:59 UTC

37%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 24%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 days ago

Sports

UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims) Sam Patterson

Ends in 1 day 5 hours

82%

Market now

updated about 1 hour ago

> 82%

Our view · in line

First bought just now

UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) Muhammad Said

Ends in 1 day 5 hours

39%

Market now

updated 35 minutes ago

> 39%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought just now

Tech

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? Yes

Ends 31 Jul, 00:00 UTC

79%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 36%

Our view · right so far

First bought 5 days ago

Trump

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026? Yes

Ends in 1 hour

54%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 50%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? Yes

Ends 31 Jul, 23:59 UTC

29%

Market now

updated about 23 hours ago

> 3%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Uncategorized

Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting? No

Ends 31 Jul, 00:00 UTC

100%

Market now

updated 44 minutes ago

> 25%

Our view · right so far

First bought 1 week ago

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? Yes

Ends 31 Jul, 00:00 UTC

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 0%

Our view · in line

First bought 7 weeks ago

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31? No

Ends 31 Jul, 11:59 UTC

99%

Market now

updated about 11 hours ago

> 1%

Our view · right so far

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? No

Ends 31 Jul, 23:59 UTC

100%

Market now

updated 44 minutes ago

> 50%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? No

Ends 31 Jul, 23:59 UTC

99%

Market now

updated about 11 hours ago

> 2%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? No

Ends 31 Jul, 23:59 UTC

100%

Market now

updated about 2 hours ago

> 1%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election? Yes

Ends 1 Aug, 00:00 UTC

56%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 78%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? No

Ends 1 Aug, 03:59 UTC

99%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 1%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes

Ends 4 Aug, 00:00 UTC

97%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 6%

Our view · right so far

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? No

Ends 4 Aug, 00:00 UTC

41%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 16%

Our view · right so far

First bought 1 week ago

Will Mike Rogers win the Republican Primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan? Yes

Ends 4 Aug, 00:00 UTC

98%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 0%

Our view · right so far

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? Yes

Ends 6 Aug, 00:00 UTC

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 0%

Our view · right so far

First bought 1 week ago

Green/red means the market has moved for/against our held outcome since entry; it is only “right/wrong so far” until the event resolves. Market prices are implied probabilities, not guarantees.

Historical performance

All markets we entered that resolved in the last 14 days.

276

Resolved

201

✓ Right

✕ Wrong

73%

Accuracy

Box Office

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Crypto

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 7-13? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Culture

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be at least 48m? No

Resolved 2 days ago

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 20%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 days ago

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated about 10 hours ago

> 81%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Economy

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12? Yes

Resolved 5 days ago

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 23%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12? Yes

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 38%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Finance

Will CXMT IPO by July 17, 2026? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 11 hours ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 19 hours ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 23 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 15%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will the earnings call not air? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 7? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% in June? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Games

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs Dplus KIA

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Geopolitics

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 36%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 9%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Iran full airspace closure by July 21? No

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 days ago

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 32%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 39%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19? No

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 45%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15? Yes

Resolved 5 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 78%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 76%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 67%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 83%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 64%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 55%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Iran full airspace closure by July 15? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 90%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by December 31? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 14, 2026? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by September 30? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated about 23 hours ago

> 67%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 12 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 22%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 12 days ago

> 72%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Mentions

Will Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the World Cup Final? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 26%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Donald Trump be shown 6-8 times at the World Cup Final? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 81%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Donald Trump be shown 9-11 times at the World Cup Final? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

Will the announcers say "iShowSpeed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Politics

Will Leavitt say "World Cup" during the next White House Press Briefing? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 2 hours ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 30 hours ago

Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 89%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 days ago

Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 80%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 100%

Our view · in line

First bought 1 week ago

Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 67%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 days ago

Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 90%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 14%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated about 18 hours ago

> 74%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 days ago

Will Keir Starmer be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 2 hours ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31? No

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 63%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Wes Streeting be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 2 hours ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 10 hours ago

> 82%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated about 23 hours ago

> 60%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 90%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 23 hours ago

> 65%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Matthew Taylor win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 16%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Beth Jones win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 23%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Martin Schmierer win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 12%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 80%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 4%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? No

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 5%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Julia Letlow win the Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff by more than 25%? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 67%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 12 weeks ago

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 85%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 69%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Science

Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes

Resolved 5 days ago

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 20%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Sports

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 9 hours ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 23 hours ago

> 59%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 days ago

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 67%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 days ago

Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 86%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 59%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 25%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 91%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 96%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 days ago

Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 9%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 82%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 33%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 71%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 16%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 days ago

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 64%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 9%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 days ago

Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 36%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina? No

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? No

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? No

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? Yes

Resolved 5 days ago

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 12%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims) Seokhyeon Ko

Resolved 5 days ago

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 61%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) Dricus Du Plessis

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card) Chase Hooper

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) Christian Leroy Duncan

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 79%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) Fatima Kline

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 80%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes

Resolved 5 days ago

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims) Jose Miguel Delgado

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 47%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

France vs. England: France O/U 0.5 Over

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 77%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

France vs. England: France O/U 1.5 Over

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 44%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims) RJ Harris

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 49%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Dione Barbosa vs. Anna Melisano (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) Dione Barbosa

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 85%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims) Alden Coria

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

England vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 33%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 19%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 31%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 83%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 74%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Michael Olise: 1+ shots Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 98%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 44%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Spain leading at halftime? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 83%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 12 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 40%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims) Zachary Reese

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 45%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 45%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) Max Holloway

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 69%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card) Lone'er Kavanagh

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 67%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) Benoît Saint Denis

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 55%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card) Mario Bautista

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card) Terrance McKinney

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 49%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) Robert Whittaker

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 68%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims) Gable Steveson

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 90%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 63%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims) Luke Riley

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 72%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC 329: Cody Durden vs. Alessandro Costa (Flyweight, Early Prelims) Alessandro Costa

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 70%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Tech

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 76%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Trump

Will Trump say "Melania" during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 86%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump say "First Term" during remarks in Georgia? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 75%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump say "Family" 5+ times during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved today

Market now

updated about 23 hours ago

> 67%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump say "Booming" during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 23 hours ago

> 69%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved 1 day ago

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 17%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 18 hours ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 days ago

Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 10 hours ago

> 69%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 10 hours ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump accuse Mexico of election interference by July 16? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 32%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 85%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 84%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Speech to the Nation? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 61%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 85%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump accuse Ukraine of election interference by July 16? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "Communist" during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 29%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 65%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 71%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026? No

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 13%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Uncategorized

Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 69%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 days ago

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 30%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 86%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 75%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 3%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will OG Anunoby Jr. be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 69%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 20 weeks ago

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 7%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 20 weeks ago

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 85%

Our view · correct

First bought 14 weeks ago

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 13%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 24 weeks ago

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 23%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies Washington Nationals

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 days ago

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No

Resolved 3 days ago

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 61%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 87%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 24%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 10%

Our view · correct

First bought 21 weeks ago

Another World Cup card reversed? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies Cincinnati Reds

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 54%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 63%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 50%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels

Resolved 6 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 64%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks

Resolved 6 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 33%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

Over $100M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $85M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $75M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 89%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $65M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $90M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 38%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Oliver Crawford Chris Rodesch

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 70%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 87%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will no press briefing air by July 31? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated about 10 hours ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 90%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will England win the World Cup? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 90%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Over $20M committed to the Credible public sale? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 59%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 35%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 89%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 28%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Onn Hafiz Ghazi be the next Chief Minister of Johor? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 4%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Austin Reaves play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 12 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 45%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 12 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 54%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 68%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago