Our prediction record

Event Horizon

Our held predictions approaching resolution, with the record of what happened next.

3
Open predictions
2
Right so far
1
Wrong so far
67%
Resolved accuracy

Current predictions

Held outcomes in Trump resolving in the next 14 days.

Trump

These are open predictions — outcomes are not scored until the market resolves. Market prices are implied probabilities, not guarantees.

Historical performance

Trump markets we entered that resolved in the last 14 days.

3
Resolved
2
✓ Right
1
✕ Wrong
67%
Accuracy

Trump