Our prediction record

Event Horizon

Our prediction for events in the next 14 days.

Resolution window 7 days 14 days 30 days

Category All Box Office Crypto Culture Economy Finance Games Geopolitics Mentions Politics Sports Tech Trump

Current predictions

Held outcomes in Trump resolving in the next 14 days.

Active

✓ Right so far

✕ Wrong so far

100%

Accuracy so far

Trump

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? Yes

Ends 31 Jul, 23:59 UTC

95%

Market now

updated about 2 hours ago

> 3%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

Green/red means the market has moved for/against our held outcome since entry; it is only “right/wrong so far” until the event resolves. Market prices are implied probabilities, not guarantees.

Historical performance

Trump markets we entered that resolved in the last 14 days.

Resolved

✓ Right

✕ Wrong

71%

Accuracy

Trump

Will Trump say "Melania" during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 86%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 days ago

Will Trump say "First Term" during remarks in Georgia? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 75%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 days ago

Will Trump say "Family" 5+ times during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved 2 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 67%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 days ago

Will Trump say "Booming" during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 69%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 days ago

Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved 2 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 17%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 days ago

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 days ago

Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 days ago

Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 69%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026? No

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump accuse Mexico of election interference by July 16? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 32%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 85%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 84%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Speech to the Nation? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 61%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 85%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump accuse Ukraine of election interference by July 16? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "Communist" during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 29%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 65%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 71%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 13%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago