Our prediction record

Event Horizon

Our prediction for events in the next 30 days.

Resolution window 7 days 14 days 30 days

Category All Box Office Business Crypto Culture Economy Finance Games Geopolitics Health Mentions Politics Science Sports Tech Trump Weather World

Current predictions

Held outcomes in Trump resolving in the next 30 days.

Active

✓ Right so far

✕ Wrong so far

100%

Accuracy so far

Trump

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? Yes

Ends 31 Jul, 23:59 UTC

29%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 3%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

Green/red means the market has moved for/against our held outcome since entry; it is only “right/wrong so far” until the event resolves. Market prices are implied probabilities, not guarantees.

Historical performance

Trump markets we entered that resolved in the last 30 days.

Resolved

✓ Right

✕ Wrong

77%

Accuracy

Trump

Will Trump say "Melania" during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 23 hours ago

> 86%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump say "First Term" during remarks in Georgia? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 23 hours ago

> 75%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump say "Family" 5+ times during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved 1 day ago

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 67%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump say "Booming" during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 69%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved 1 day ago

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 17%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Georgia? No

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 days ago

Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 19 hours ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 days ago

Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 12 hours ago

> 69%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 12 hours ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches? No

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump accuse Mexico of election interference by July 16? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 32%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 85%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 84%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Speech to the Nation? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 61%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 85%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump accuse Ukraine of election interference by July 16? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "Communist" during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 29%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 65%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 71%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 13%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in July 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 7%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 82%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Trump's remarks not air? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 19 days ago

> 36%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 59%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 75%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 43%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 54%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Trump out as President by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 13 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in June 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 93%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 29 days ago

> 74%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 weeks ago