Our prediction record
Event Horizon
Our prediction for events in the next 14 days.
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Business
Current predictions
Held outcomes in Business resolving in the next 14 days.
No predictions are attached to events ending in the next 14 days.
Green/red means the market has moved for/against our held outcome since entry; it is only “right/wrong so far” until the event resolves. Market prices are implied probabilities, not guarantees.
Historical performance
Business markets we entered that resolved in the last 14 days.
No resolved predictions ended in the last 14 days.