Ends 30 Sep, 23:59 UTC
3%
Market now
updated about 13 hours ago
> 4%
Our view · wrong so far
First bought 4 weeks ago
Our prediction record
Our held predictions approaching resolution, with the record of what happened next.
Held outcomes in Business resolving in the next 30 days.
These are open predictions — outcomes are not scored until the market resolves. Market prices are implied probabilities, not guarantees.
Business markets we entered that resolved in the last 30 days.