Our prediction record

Event Horizon

Our prediction for events in the next 14 days.

Resolution window 7 days 14 days 30 days

Current predictions

Held outcomes in Geopolitics resolving in the next 14 days.

4
Active
3
✓ Right so far
0
✕ Wrong so far
100%
Accuracy so far

Geopolitics

Green/red means the market has moved for/against our held outcome since entry; it is only “right/wrong so far” until the event resolves. Market prices are implied probabilities, not guarantees.

Historical performance

Geopolitics markets we entered that resolved in the last 14 days.

32
Resolved
26
✓ Right
6
✕ Wrong
81%
Accuracy

Geopolitics