Our prediction record

Event Horizon

Our held predictions approaching resolution, with the record of what happened next.

5
Open predictions
2
Right so far
2
Wrong so far
86%
Resolved accuracy

Current predictions

Held outcomes in Geopolitics resolving in the next 14 days.

Geopolitics

These are open predictions — outcomes are not scored until the market resolves. Market prices are implied probabilities, not guarantees.

Historical performance

Geopolitics markets we entered that resolved in the last 14 days.

7
Resolved
6
✓ Right
1
✕ Wrong
86%
Accuracy

Geopolitics