Our prediction record

Event Horizon

Our held predictions approaching resolution, with the record of what happened next.

Open predictions

Right so far

Wrong so far

70%

Resolved accuracy

Resolution window 7 days 14 days 30 days

Category All Business Crypto Culture Economy Finance Games Geopolitics Mentions Politics Science SpaceX Sports Tech Trump Weather World

Current predictions

Held outcomes in Politics resolving in the next 30 days.

Politics

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes

Ends in 22 hours

100%

Market now

updated about 8 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · in line

First bought 11 weeks ago

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No

Ends in 22 hours

95%

Market now

updated about 8 hours ago

> 89%

Our view · right so far

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No

Ends in 22 hours

98%

Market now

updated about 13 hours ago

> 98%

Our view · in line

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will United Russia win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections? Yes

Ends in 1 day 18 hours

99%

Market now

updated about 12 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · right so far

First bought 7 weeks ago

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? Under

Ends in 1 day 22 hours

18%

Market now

updated about 17 hours ago

> 19%

Our view · in line

First bought 3 days ago

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? Yes

Ends in 1 day 22 hours

69%

Market now

updated about 5 hours ago

> 65%

Our view · right so far

First bought 10 hours ago

Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? Yes

Ends in 1 day 22 hours

86%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 84%

Our view · right so far

First bought 14 hours ago

Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election? Yes

Ends 27 Sep, 00:00 UTC

92%

Market now

updated about 14 hours ago

> 88%

Our view · right so far

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will the Tidö parties win by 3–4 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? No

Ends 1 Oct, 03:59 UTC

100%

Market now

updated about 8 hours ago

> 100%

Our view · in line

First bought 2 days ago

Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No

Ends 4 Oct, 00:00 UTC

100%

Market now

updated about 3 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · in line

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No

Ends 4 Oct, 00:00 UTC

76%

Market now

updated about 21 hours ago

> 80%

Our view · wrong so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes

Ends 4 Oct, 00:00 UTC

98%

Market now

updated about 7 hours ago

> 86%

Our view · right so far

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election? Yes

Ends 4 Oct, 06:00 UTC

92%

Market now

updated about 18 hours ago

> 90%

Our view · right so far

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Gladson Camelí win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? No

Ends 4 Oct, 06:00 UTC

85%

Market now

updated about 18 hours ago

> 84%

Our view · right so far

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes

Ends 5 Oct, 00:00 UTC

85%

Market now

updated about 23 hours ago

> 63%

Our view · right so far

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? Yes

Ends 5 Oct, 03:59 UTC

76%

Market now

updated about 3 hours ago

> 71%

Our view · right so far

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No

Ends 10 Oct, 00:00 UTC

97%

Market now

updated about 16 hours ago

> 95%

Our view · right so far

First bought 9 weeks ago

These are open predictions — outcomes are not scored until the market resolves. Market prices are implied probabilities, not guarantees.

Historical performance

Politics markets we entered that resolved in the last 30 days.

127

Resolved

✓ Right

✕ Wrong

70%

Accuracy

Politics

Will Green Party (MP) win at least 9% of all valid votes? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 3 hours ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win at least 33% of all valid votes? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 11 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 18 hours ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? No

Resolved today

Market now

updated about 19 hours ago

> 55%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? No

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 22 hours ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or MP? V

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will the Green Party (MP) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? No

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 days ago

Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 70%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 days ago

Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 63%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 79%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 75%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 27%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will the Left Party (V) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will BARMM Grand Coalition (BGC) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 56%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? No

Resolved 2 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 95%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Robert Raimondo win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 91%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Christopher Beardsley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? No

Resolved 4 days ago

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 7%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 13 weeks ago

Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 79%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will John Kiper win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 58%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 85%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? No

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 4%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Israel Election: The Reservists & Blue and White Run on Same List? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit & RZP Run on Same List? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Israel Election: New Economic Party & Amcha Yisrael Run on Same List? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 10 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 75%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 24%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 64%

Our view · correct

First bought 18 weeks ago

Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 79%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%? Over

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will NRPUP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 11 weeks ago

Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will CF win the second-most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 10%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 99%

Our view · in line

First bought 9 weeks ago

US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 91%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Matthew "Bronco" Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 26%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 16 weeks ago

Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will James Parkin advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 63%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Gavin Solomon advance from the AK-AL primary election? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 34%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 16 weeks ago

Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Graham Platner charged by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Mike Kennealy win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Leavitt say "Pink" during the next White House Press Briefing? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Iran leadership change by August 31? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 13 weeks ago

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 12%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 87%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 19 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 58%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 18%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 39%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by less than 5%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Ashley B. Moody be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 80%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 46%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Leisa Mitchell Haynes win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 53%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 20–25%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 25–30%? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 35–40%? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 79%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 80%

Our view · correct

First bought 16 weeks ago

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Adilet win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will QHP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 62%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will JSDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 86%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 76%

Our view · correct

First bought 39 weeks ago

Will Cook Islands United Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Betsy McCaughey win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 53%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 10%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 13%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 84%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 8%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Respublica win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 26%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will JSDP win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 16%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Aq Jol win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 19%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 21 weeks ago

Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago

Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 6%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 13 weeks ago

Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 26%

Our view · correct

First bought 12 weeks ago

Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

99%

Market now

updated 26 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 26%

Our view · correct

First bought 13 weeks ago

Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 17 weeks ago