Event Horizon

Will Leavitt say "World Cup" during the next White House Press Briefing? Yes

Resolved today

100%

Market now

updated about 4 hours ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 31 hours ago

Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election? Yes

Resolved 1 day ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 89%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 days ago

Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? No

Resolved 2 days ago

0%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 80%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 days ago

Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election? No

Resolved 2 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 100%

Our view · in line

First bought 1 week ago

Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 90%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

0%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 14%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 days ago

0%

Market now

updated about 19 hours ago

> 74%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 days ago

Will Keir Starmer be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 3 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 3 hours ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31? No

Resolved 3 days ago

0%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 4 days ago

> 63%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Wes Streeting be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? No

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 30 minutes ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 days ago

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated about 12 hours ago

> 82%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 78%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19? Yes

Resolved 4 days ago

0%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 60%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections? Yes

Resolved 5 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 5 days ago

> 90%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17? No

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 1 day ago

> 65%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Matthew Taylor win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

0%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 16%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Beth Jones win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

0%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 23%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Martin Schmierer win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election? Yes

Resolved 6 days ago

0%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 12%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 7 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 1 week ago

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 80%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15? Yes

Resolved 1 week ago

0%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 4%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? No

Resolved 1 week ago

0%

Market now

updated 8 days ago

> 5%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 1 week ago

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Julia Letlow win the Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff by more than 25%? No

Resolved 1 week ago

100%

Market now

updated 9 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 11 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 2 weeks ago

Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 13 days ago

> 67%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 12 weeks ago

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 85%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4? No

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 14 days ago

> 69%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 15 days ago

> 65%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Moscow air traffic suspended by July 15? Yes

Resolved 2 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 16 days ago

> 58%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 86%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 15 weeks ago

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 18 days ago

> 68%

Our view · correct

First bought 15 weeks ago

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 5%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 3%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 4%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 15 weeks ago

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 15%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 83%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 76%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 20 days ago

> 71%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 6 weeks ago

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

E. Jean Carroll federally charged by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 32%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 15 weeks ago

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Weed rescheduled by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 65%

Our view · correct

First bought 13 weeks ago

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 22 days ago

> 57%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 89%

Our view · correct

First bought 20 weeks ago

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 87%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 17%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 89%

Our view · correct

First bought 25 weeks ago

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 14%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 13 weeks ago

Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 85%

Our view · correct

First bought 21 weeks ago

Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 81%

Our view · correct

First bought 19 weeks ago

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 4%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 3 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 6 days ago

> 70%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 71%

Our view · correct

First bought 25 weeks ago

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 12 weeks ago

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 73%

Our view · correct

First bought 23 weeks ago

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 91%

Our view · correct

First bought 14 weeks ago

Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 12 weeks ago

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Kash Patel out by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 44%

Our view · correct

First bought 13 weeks ago

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 31 weeks ago

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 21 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 26 weeks ago

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 13 weeks ago

Iran leadership change by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 85%

Our view · correct

First bought 13 weeks ago

Will Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Iraq recognize Israel by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 7%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Xi Jinping out by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Epstein client list released by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 57%

Our view · correct

First bought 30 weeks ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 84%

Our view · correct

First bought 28 weeks ago

Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 67%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 21%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 23 weeks ago

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 2 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 11 weeks ago

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 96%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 87%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 84%

Our view · correct

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 23 days ago

> 81%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 59%

Our view · correct

First bought 25 weeks ago

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 4%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 50%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 16%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 3 weeks ago

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 0%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 88%

Our view · correct

First bought 12 weeks ago

Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 90%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Kuwait recognize Israel by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 94%

Our view · correct

First bought 11 weeks ago

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Özgür Özel arrested by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 7 weeks ago

Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 17 days ago

> 92%

Our view · correct

First bought 21 weeks ago

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Anthropic CEO arrested? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated about 12 hours ago

> 97%

Our view · correct

First bought 12 weeks ago

Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30 No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Les Wexner charged by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes

Resolved 3 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 1%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 15 weeks ago

Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? No

Resolved 3 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 24 days ago

> 73%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 25 days ago

> 8%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win at least 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 83%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 10 weeks ago

Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5% or more? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 27 days ago

> 20%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 61%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will voter turnout be 51-54% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 99%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 28 days ago

> 80%

Our view · correct

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated 30 days ago

> 2%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 8 weeks ago

Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 30 days ago

> 67%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 30 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Larry Hogan win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 30 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 9 weeks ago

Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 30 days ago

> 93%

Our view · correct

First bought 13 weeks ago

Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 30 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 30 days ago

> 98%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated 30 days ago

> 95%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated about 1 month ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will David Trone be the Democratic nominee for MD-06? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated about 1 month ago

> 100%

Our view · correct

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated about 1 month ago

> 78%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated about 1 month ago

> 67%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 6 weeks ago

Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

0%

Market now

updated about 1 month ago

> 27%

Our view · incorrect

First bought 4 weeks ago

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? No

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated about 1 month ago

> 38%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? Yes

Resolved 4 weeks ago

100%

Market now

updated about 1 month ago

> 41%

Our view · correct

First bought 5 weeks ago