Our prediction record

Event Horizon

Our prediction for events in the next 7 days.

Resolution window 7 days 14 days 30 days
Category All Box Office Culture Economy Finance Games Geopolitics Mentions Politics Sports Tech Trump

Current predictions

Held outcomes in Politics resolving in the next 7 days.

3
Active
2
✓ Right so far
1
✕ Wrong so far
67%
Accuracy so far

Politics

Green/red means the market has moved for/against our held outcome since entry; it is only “right/wrong so far” until the event resolves. Market prices are implied probabilities, not guarantees.

Historical performance

Politics markets we entered that resolved in the last 7 days.

16
Resolved
11
✓ Right
5
✕ Wrong
69%
Accuracy

Politics