Our prediction record

Event Horizon

Our held predictions approaching resolution, with the record of what happened next.

8
Open predictions
5
Right so far
0
Wrong so far
65%
Resolved accuracy
Resolution window 7 days 14 days 30 days
Category All Culture Economy Finance Geopolitics Politics Sports Tech Trump

Current predictions

Held outcomes in Politics resolving in the next 7 days.

Politics

These are open predictions — outcomes are not scored until the market resolves. Market prices are implied probabilities, not guarantees.

Historical performance

Politics markets we entered that resolved in the last 7 days.

23
Resolved
15
✓ Right
8
✕ Wrong
65%
Accuracy

Politics