Our prediction record

Event Horizon

Our prediction for events in the next 30 days.

Resolution window 7 days 14 days 30 days

Current predictions

Held outcomes in Weather resolving in the next 30 days.

No predictions are attached to events ending in the next 30 days.

Green/red means the market has moved for/against our held outcome since entry; it is only “right/wrong so far” until the event resolves. Market prices are implied probabilities, not guarantees.

Historical performance

Weather markets we entered that resolved in the last 30 days.

1
Resolved
1
✓ Right
0
✕ Wrong
100%
Accuracy

Weather

Resolved 3 weeks ago
100%
Market now
updated 25 days ago
> 98%
Our view · correct
First bought 4 weeks ago